League One | Gameweek 5
Nov 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Exeter0 - 2Birmingham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Exeter
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-2 Birmingham
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, November 23 at 12.30pm in League One
Goals
for
for
26
We said: Exeter City 1-1 Birmingham City
Exeter have shown some good signs at home in recent weeks, especially defensively where they have kept consecutive clean sheets. Meanwhile, Birmingham are starting to show some cracks and have conceded four goals in their last two matches, but we believe that the visitors have what it takes to get a result here, which is why we are predicting a draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 45.2%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Birmingham City |
29.16% ( -0.05) | 25.63% ( -0.01) | 45.2% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 53.13% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
