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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Reading logo

Exeter
1 - 2
Reading

Niskanen (58')
Woods (55')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wareham (1'), Craig (36')
Mbengue (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Exeter City and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter
Thursday, October 17 at 8pm in League One

Reading

All competitions
Last Game: Reading 4-1 Crawley
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 2-1 Reading

 While Reading have been the dominant side in this fixture over the years, their away record this season has been very poor, while Exeter have been in sensational form and are gunning for a fifth straight home win. We are expecting an entertaining matchup here but fancy they hosts to edge the result in a close contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Reading had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawReading
49.7% (0.842 0.84) 24.37% (-0.12 -0.12) 25.93% (-0.725 -0.72)
Both teams to score 54.71% (-0.256 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.67% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)47.33% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.45% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)69.55% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (0.327 0.33)19.08% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31% (0.544 0.54)50.69% (-0.548 -0.55)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.61% (-0.59299999999999 -0.59)32.38% (0.59 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.1% (-0.671 -0.67)68.9% (0.667 0.67)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 49.7%
    Reading 25.93%
    Draw 24.37%
Exeter CityDrawReading
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.56% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.184 0.18)
3-1 @ 5.28% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.19% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.23% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 49.7%
1-1 @ 11.54% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 6.18% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.39% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.37%
0-1 @ 6.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.51% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.03% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 25.93%

How you voted: Exeter vs Reading

Exeter City
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
Reading
12.5%
24
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Reading
3-2
Exeter
Knibbs (9'), Hartridge (45+2' og.), Azeez (77')
Craig (42'), Dorsett (81')
Jules (18'), Rankine (68')
> Preview
Sep 19, 2023 7pm
Group Stage
Exeter
0-9
Reading

Stanford Neubronner Daniels (49')
McIntyre (3'), Jules (32' og.), Mukairu (56', 60'), Ballard (67', 90+6'), Elliott (79'), Harris (85'), Vickers (90')
McIntyre (47')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
2-1
Reading
Aimson (34'), Cole (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Jules (44'), Cole (90+3')
Knibbs (45+3')
Azeez (24'), Mbengue (36'), Carson (56'), Abby (89')
Jul 15, 2014 9.20pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
0-1
Reading
Edwards (9')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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