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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 21, 2024 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Reading logo

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Sheehan (12'), Charles (21' pen., 34', 45+4' pen.), Dempsey (87')
Santos (16'), Baxter (81'), Williams (88'), Arfield (90+1')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Elliott (41'), Smith (57' pen.)
Wing (11'), Knibbs (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-4 Huddersfield
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 1-1 Reading

Bolton will be in a downbeat mood after losing three consecutive matches, and we think that their lack of confidence may present Reading with an opportunity to take a useful point from Saturday's away fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.61%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
43.61% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 24.25% (0.0030000000000001 0) 32.13% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Both teams to score 59.31% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.16% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.56% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.04% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)52.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.1% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)25.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.12%60.88% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 43.61%
    Reading 32.13%
    Draw 24.25%
Bolton WanderersDrawReading
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 6.71% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.61%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33%
Other @ 3%
Total : 43.61%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.13%
0-0 @ 5.17% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.25%
1-2 @ 7.6%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.72%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.76%
0-3 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.13%

How you voted: Bolton vs Reading

Bolton Wanderers
60.0%
Draw
6.7%
Reading
33.3%
15
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 42
Bolton
5-2
Reading
Collins (11', 45+4' pen., 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53')
Wing (40'), Mukairu (90+2')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Reading
2-1
Bolton
Savage (77'), Vickers (86')
Ballard (30'), Yiadom (79'), Azeez (87'), Mbengue (87'), (90+7'), Savage (90+2')
Charles (20')
Santos (13'), Toal (16'), Williams (38'), Jerome (76'), Thomason (76')
Toal (90+4')
Jan 29, 2019 8pm
Gameweek 29
Bolton
1-1
Reading
Hobbs (90')
Noone (35'), Taylor (58')
Oliveira (74' pen.)
Gunter (53'), Rinomhota (60'), Swift (63')
Aug 18, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 3
Reading
0-1
Bolton

Blackett (25'), Kelly (65')
Wildschut (48')
Wheater (11')
Mar 6, 2018 8pm
Reading
1-1
Bolton
Barrow (32')
Barrow (33'), Edwards (64'), Evans (81')
Le Fondre (45')
Buckley (57'), Flanagan (89'), Henry (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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