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League One
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League One
May 18, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Oxford United

Bolton
0 - 2
Oxford Utd


Jones (47'), Dempsey (68'), Baxter (72'), Thomason (77')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Murphy (31', 42')
Goodrham (90+8')

The Match

Match Report

Oxford United beat Bolton Wanderers 2-0 at Wembley Stadium to earn promotion to the Championship, ending a 25-year absence.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, May 7 at 8pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 1-1 Oxford Utd
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.75%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
56.75% (-0.402 -0.4) 21.62% (0.009999999999998 0.01) 21.64% (0.397 0.4)
Both teams to score 58.88% (0.572 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.56% (0.48 0.48)39.44% (-0.476 -0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.22% (0.499 0.5)61.78% (-0.494 -0.49)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.24% (0.037000000000006 0.04)13.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.95% (0.069000000000003 0.07)41.05% (-0.064 -0.06)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.27% (0.637 0.64)31.73% (-0.634 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.85% (0.725 0.73)68.16% (-0.72 -0.72)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 56.75%
    Oxford United 21.64%
    Draw 21.62%
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.66% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.171 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.52% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.68% (-0.106 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.74% (0.06 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.23%
4-0 @ 2.82% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.032 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.28% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 56.75%
1-1 @ 9.94% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-0 @ 4.37% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.43% (0.047 0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.62%
1-2 @ 5.71% (0.078 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.88% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.067 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.17% (0.069 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.1% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 21.64%

How you voted: Bolton vs Oxford Utd

Bolton Wanderers
65.7%
Draw
4.6%
Oxford United
29.6%
108
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 38
Bolton
5-0
Oxford Utd
Ogbeta (19'), Cogley (27'), Thomason (59'), Collins (65'), Sheehan (69')

Dale (55'), Brannagan (63'), Brown (72')
> Preview
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Oxford Utd
0-0
Bolton
Mills (37'), Bodin (45+3')
Thomason (25'), Baxter (45+2')
Apr 15, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 42
Oxford Utd
0-1
Bolton
Charles (7')
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 17
Bolton
1-3
Oxford Utd
Charles (73')
Anderson (25'), Brown (53'), Seddon (79')
> Preview
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 33
Oxford Utd
2-3
Bolton
Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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