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League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Oxford United

Bolton
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Charles (73')
Williams (20'), Santos (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (25'), Brown (53'), Seddon (79')
O'Donkor (29'), Brannagan (31'), McGuane (35'), Rodriguez (85'), Seddon (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Oxford United

Bolton, with their squad depth, should be able to get past an Oxford team low on confidence. The visitors will not be pushovers, though, and will make Wanderers work hard for their three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
53.77% (0.161 0.16) 24.57% (-0.035 -0.04) 21.66% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.066000000000003 0.07)19.32% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (0.109 0.11)51.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15% (-0.119 -0.12)38.85% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.113 -0.11)75.58% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.76%
    Oxford United 21.66%
    Draw 24.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.66%

How you voted: Bolton vs Oxford Utd

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Oxford United
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Bolton
Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Afolayan (45'), Doyle (63')
Taylor (11')
Taylor (39'), McGuane (85'), Forde (90+2')
May 3, 2020 12pm
Sep 17, 2019 8pm
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Bolton
Hemmings (42'), Maguire (75')
McAleny (77')
Morais (4'), Beevers (21'), Dunkley (60' og.), Vela (94')
Beevers (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Cowboys
20-15
Giants
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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