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League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Oxford United

Bolton
1 - 3
Oxford Utd

Charles (73')
Williams (20'), Santos (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Anderson (25'), Brown (53'), Seddon (79')
O'Donkor (29'), Brannagan (31'), McGuane (35'), Rodriguez (85'), Seddon (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Oxford United

Bolton, with their squad depth, should be able to get past an Oxford team low on confidence. The visitors will not be pushovers, though, and will make Wanderers work hard for their three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 21.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
53.77% (0.161 0.16) 24.57% (-0.035 -0.04) 21.66% (-0.125 -0.13)
Both teams to score 49.34% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.17% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.83% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.68% (0.066000000000003 0.07)19.32% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.91% (0.109 0.11)51.08% (-0.107 -0.11)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.15% (-0.119 -0.12)38.85% (0.12 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.113 -0.11)75.58% (0.113 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.76%
    Oxford United 21.66%
    Draw 24.56%
Bolton WanderersDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 12.33% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 5.56% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.26% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.28% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.16% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 53.76%
1-1 @ 11.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.56%
0-1 @ 7.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 21.66%

How you voted: Bolton vs Oxford Utd

Bolton Wanderers
81.0%
Draw
9.5%
Oxford United
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
2-3
Bolton
Bodin (9', 32')
Moore (26'), Kane (70'), Seddon (76')
John (10'), Fossey (38'), Bakayoko (86')
Afolayan (74')
Aug 21, 2021 3pm
Bolton
2-1
Oxford Utd
Afolayan (45'), Doyle (63')
Taylor (11')
Taylor (39'), McGuane (85'), Forde (90+2')
May 3, 2020 12pm
Sep 17, 2019 8pm
Mar 21, 2017 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
2-4
Bolton
Hemmings (42'), Maguire (75')
McAleny (77')
Morais (4'), Beevers (21'), Dunkley (60' og.), Vela (94')
Beevers (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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