Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 56.39%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 22.06% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
56.39% ( 0.92)	21.54% ( -0.15)	22.06% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 59.77% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.45% (

-0.27)

38.54% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.16% (

-0.29)

60.84% (

0.29)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.43% (

0.19)

13.57% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.32% (

0.38)

40.67% (

-0.38)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.16% (

-0.82)

30.84% (

0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.88% (

-0.98)

67.12% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 56.39%

Chelsea Under-21s 22.06%

Draw 21.54%

Oxford United	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.55% Total : 56.39%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.54%	1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.79% Total : 22.06%