League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Accrington2 - 3Bolton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Accrington 3-2 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Leeds U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
We said: Accrington Stanley 0-1 Bolton Wanderers
With their strong defensive record, another clean sheet for Bolton would not be a surprise. With domination of the ball expected, they will give themselves the greatest chance of finding the back of the net, which we think they will do. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
31.9% ( 0.02) | 26.04% ( 0) | 42.06% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
