League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Wham Stadium

Accrington
2 - 3
Bolton

Whalley (8'), Johnston (48' og.)
Clark (42'), McConville (50'), Rodgers (59'), Whalley (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rodgers (56' og.), Lee (71'), Afolayan (75')
Jones (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Accrington 3-2 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 3-0 Leeds U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Accrington Stanley 0-1 Bolton Wanderers

With their strong defensive record, another clean sheet for Bolton would not be a surprise. With domination of the ball expected, they will give themselves the greatest chance of finding the back of the net, which we think they will do. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
31.9% ( 0.02)	26.04% ( 0)	42.06% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 53.16% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.87% (

51.13% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.02% (

72.98% (

-0)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.03% (

0.01)

29.97% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.92% (

0.02)

66.08% (

-0.01)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.91% (

-0.01)

24.09% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.62% (

-0.01)

58.37% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 31.9%

Bolton Wanderers 42.06%

Draw 26.04%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.9%	1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.81% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 42.06%