League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Reebok Stadium
Bolton3 - 1Accrington
Afolayan (42'), Dadi Bodvarsson (69', 89')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
Afolayan (29'), John (45+3'), Amaechi (65'), Williams (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bagueloc'rich (50')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Clark (41'), McConville (45+3'), Bagueloc'rich (45+5'), Conneely (76')
Longelo-Mbule (82')
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Oxford United | 46 | 23 | 76 |
| 9 | Bolton Wanderers | 46 | 17 | 73 |
| 10 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 73 |
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 3-4 Accrington
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Ipswich Town | 46 | 21 | 70 |
| 12 | Accrington Stanley | 46 | -19 | 61 |
| 13 | Charlton Athletic | 46 | -4 | 59 |
We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Accrington Stanley
With just three games left to play, a place in the playoffs is now unattainable for Bolton and they will now look to close out the season on a high. They go up against an Accrington Stanley side who have struggled to get going on the road, picking up 16 points from a possible 63 so far. We predict the hosts will come out victorious on Monday, albeit by a slender margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.99%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
| 61.48% | 21.57% | 16.95% |
| Both teams to score 50.71% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
