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Peterborough United
League One | 2nd Leg
May 8, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Oxford United

Peterborough
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Knight (41')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Brannagan (45+3' pen.)
Harris (30'), Stevens (40'), Brown (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Oxford United

Peterborough's array of attacking talent will undoubtedly cause Oxford problems in Wednesday's second leg, but with the U's unbeaten in four away matches, we think that they will hold Posh to a draw to secure their place at Wembley. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
48.02% (-4.965 -4.97) 22.93% (1.272 1.27) 29.05% (3.692 3.69)
Both teams to score 62.28% (-1.308 -1.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.5% (-3.14 -3.14)38.5% (3.14 3.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.2% (-3.403 -3.4)60.79% (3.404 3.4)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.64% (-2.807 -2.81)16.35% (2.807 2.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.03% (-5.341 -5.34)45.96% (5.341 5.34)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.907 0.91)25.54% (-0.905 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (1.223 1.22)60.4% (-1.222 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 48.02%
    Oxford United 29.05%
    Draw 22.93%
Peterborough UnitedDrawOxford United
2-1 @ 9.35% (-0.175 -0.18)
1-0 @ 7.56% (0.402 0.4)
2-0 @ 6.85% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.704 -0.7)
3-0 @ 4.13% (-0.637 -0.64)
3-2 @ 3.85% (-0.369 -0.37)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.617 -0.62)
4-0 @ 1.87% (-0.513 -0.51)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.366 -0.37)
5-1 @ 0.93% (-0.343 -0.34)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 48.02%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.795 0.8)
2-2 @ 6.38% (0.046 0.05)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.594 0.59)
3-3 @ 1.75% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 7.05% (0.711 0.71)
0-1 @ 5.7% (0.936 0.94)
0-2 @ 3.89% (0.722 0.72)
1-3 @ 3.21% (0.397 0.4)
2-3 @ 2.9% (0.095 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.77% (0.365 0.37)
1-4 @ 1.09% (0.16 0.16)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 29.05%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Oxford Utd

Peterborough United
58.6%
Draw
20.2%
Oxford United
21.2%
99
Head to Head
May 4, 2024 7.45pm
Apr 13, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Oxford Utd
5-0
Peterborough
Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

Katongo (18')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Peterborough
3-0
Oxford Utd
Kyprianou (23'), Jade-Jones (34'), De Havilland (90+2')
Kioso (60')

Bodin (63')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 16
Oxford Utd
1-2
Peterborough
Bodin (52')
Taylor (7'), Poku (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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