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Championship header 2

League One
Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Peterborough
4 - 1
Fleetwood

Mothersille (17'), Collins (81'), Clarke-Harris (90+5', 90+6')
(89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lawal (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 After Saturday's disappointment at Oxford, Peterborough cannot afford any more slip ups in the race for automatic promotion, starting against League Two-bound Fleetwood on Tuesday. The Cod Army were relatively-comfortable victors over Northampton last time out, but we do not envisage Adam's men making it back-to-back results at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 73.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
73.28% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 15.53% (0.0080000000000009 0.01) 11.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.11% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)30.89% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)52.26% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)7.26% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.7% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)26.29% (0.029 0.03)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)38.97% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)75.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 73.28%
    Fleetwood Town 11.19%
    Draw 15.53%
Peterborough UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.51% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 73.28%
1-1 @ 6.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 15.53%
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.67% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Fleetwood

Peterborough United
78.6%
Draw
11.9%
Fleetwood Town
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Fleetwood
0-1
Peterborough

Vela (13'), Lawal (55')
Collins (42')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 32
Fleetwood
1-0
Peterborough
Omochere (20')
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Peterborough
0-1
Fleetwood
Vela (23')
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 39
Fleetwood
0-1
Peterborough

Connolly (25')
Clarke-Harris (89')
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Peterborough
2-1
Fleetwood
Taylor (90+1'), Szmodics (90+5')
Kent (49'), Thompson (63')
Camps (55')
Burns (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1584322111128
4Stockport CountyStockport167632617927
5Barnsley157532419526
6Lincoln CityLincoln157532117426
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Exeter CityExeter147251410423
10Reading147252221123
11Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Bristol Rovers155371621-518
15Stevenage155371116-518
16Northampton TownNorthampton154561821-317
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
18Blackpool154562128-717
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley163491427-1313
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge143291324-1111
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148
> League One Full Table


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