Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Peterborough United in this match.
