Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.