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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 56.52%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wycombe Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
56.52% ( 0.03) | 23.36% ( -0.01) | 20.12% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.8% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.96% ( 0.05) | 49.04% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.88% ( 0.05) | 71.12% ( -0.04) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.85% ( 0.03) | 17.15% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.62% ( 0.05) | 47.38% ( -0.05) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% ( 0.02) | 38.68% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% ( 0.02) | 75.42% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wycombe Wanderers | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.31% 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.06% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 56.52% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( 0) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.35% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.67% 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 29 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 11 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 13 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 5 |
> League One Full Table |