Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 48.17%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.