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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Port Vale has a probability of 36.05% and a draw has a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Port Vale win is 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.74%).
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
37.14% ( 0.55) | 26.81% ( -0.08) | 36.05% ( -0.47) |
Both teams to score 51.52% ( 0.25) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.4% ( 0.32) | 53.6% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.89% ( 0.27) | 75.11% ( -0.26) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.1% ( 0.48) | 27.9% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.49% ( 0.6) | 63.51% ( -0.6) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.46% ( -0.13) | 28.54% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.67% ( -0.16) | 64.33% ( 0.17) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.17% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 37.13% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.1% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 36.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 12 | 28 |
4 | Barnsley | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 25 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 22 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 17 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
18 | Blackpool | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 16 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 12 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 10 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |