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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Port Vale

Cheltenham
0 - 0
Port Vale

FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 1-1 Port Vale

The two teams drew 2-2 when they met earlier in the season, and we think that they could play out another draw on Saturday, which may suit both sides following their recent defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.2% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawPort Vale
29.2% (0.0010000000000012 0) 24.95% (0.0030000000000001 0) 45.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.36% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.35% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)47.65% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)69.85% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.08% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.79% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)66.21% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.17% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)20.82% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.5% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)53.5% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 29.2%
    Port Vale 45.85%
    Draw 24.94%
Cheltenham TownDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.09%
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.81%
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 29.2%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 6.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.94%
0-1 @ 9.83% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 9.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 7.71% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 45.85%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Port Vale

Cheltenham Town
11.1%
Draw
33.3%
Port Vale
55.6%
9
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Port Vale
2-2
Cheltenham
Odubeko (37'), Perry (40' og.)
N'Lundulu (24'), Brown (90+2')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Cheltenham
3-2
Port Vale
May (14'), Brown (18' og.), Sercombe (75')
Swan (83'), Hurst (85')
Guthrie (65'), Crookes (74')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Mar 7, 2020 3pm
Dec 21, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
1-1
Cheltenham
Tozer (39' og.)
Montano (89')
Addai (24')
Greaves (33'), Tozer (88'), Clements (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe14102232161632
2Birmingham CityBirmingham1393124121230
3Wrexham1484222101228
4Barnsley147432318525
5Lincoln CityLincoln147432117425
6Stockport CountyStockport156632517824
7Mansfield TownMansfield137332015524
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield147252114723
9Reading147252221123
10Bolton WanderersBolton147252224-223
11Exeter CityExeter137151410422
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough156363127421
13Charlton AthleticCharlton145451515019
14Stevenage155371116-518
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham154561418-417
16Bristol Rovers145271621-517
17Northampton TownNorthampton144461821-316
18Blackpool144462128-716
19Wigan AthleticWigan143561212014
20Leyton Orient144281418-414
21Crawley TownCrawley153391427-1312
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge133191223-1110
23Burton Albion141581525-108
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1522111327-148


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