League One | Gameweek 43
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Morecambe2 - 1Cheltenham
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Morecambe 5-0 Burton Albion
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Cheltenham
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Morecambe 2-0 Cheltenham Town
Morecambe head into this match in the relegation zone which is why most people will be presuming that the visitors are the favourites in this one. Despite that, the Shrimps have been performing well in recent matches and that momentum should help them secure another victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
42.51% ( 2.18) | 25.53% ( -1.84) | 31.95% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( 5.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.03% ( 7.34) | 48.96% ( -7.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.95% ( 6.28) | 71.05% ( -6.28) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.08% ( 4.44) | 22.92% ( -4.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.31% ( 6.14) | 56.68% ( -6.14) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.15% ( 3.46) | 28.85% ( -3.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.28% ( 4.1) | 64.71% ( -4.11) |
| Score Analysis |
Morecambe 42.51%
Cheltenham Town 31.96%
Draw 25.52%
| Morecambe | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( -1.72) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.53)2-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.25)3-1 @ 4.38% ( 0.76)3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.32)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.68)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.44)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.26)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.34)Other @ 2.14% Total : 42.51% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.84) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( -2.23)2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.81)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.36)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.52% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -1.77) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.53)1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.51)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.6% Total : 31.96% |
How you voted: Morecambe vs Cheltenham
Morecambe
57.1%Draw
21.4%Cheltenham Town
21.4%28
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Mar 27, 2021 3pm
Sep 12, 2020 3pm
Form Guide
