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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Burton Albion |
32.68% ( 0.02) | 27.59% ( 0.01) | 39.73% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.62% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.97% ( -0.05) | 57.03% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.08% ( -0.04) | 77.92% ( 0.05) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.57% ( -0.01) | 32.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.05% ( -0.01) | 68.95% ( 0.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.96% ( -0.04) | 28.04% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.31% ( -0.05) | 63.69% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.33% 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 11.56% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wrexham | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 16 |
3 | Barnsley | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
4 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 13 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 11 |
8 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
9 | Blackpool | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 11 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
11 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 10 |
12 | Exeter CityExeter | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
13 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 8 |
15 | Stevenage | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 8 |
16 | Leyton Orient | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 7 |
17 | Reading | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
18 | Crawley TownCrawley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
19 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Burton Albion | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 3 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |