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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Burton Albion
2 - 2
Plymouth

Kamwa (41'), Mariappa (90+7')
Oshilaja (17'), Onyango (62'), Hamer (63'), Winnall (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hardie (64' pen.), Mumba (73')
Lonwijk (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth Argyle will be desperate to return to winning ways on Saturday and ensure they maintain a lead at the top of the table, and they have shown far more quality than their hosts throughout the season thus far. Against a Burton Albion team lacking any confidence, we see Schumacher's men cruising to a victory in Staffordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth Argyle
34.77% (-2.772 -2.77) 24.28% (-0.719 -0.72) 40.95% (3.495 3.5)
Both teams to score 60.06% (2.304 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (3.115 3.12)42.55% (-3.114 -3.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (3.034 3.03)64.96% (-3.031 -3.03)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)24.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.115 -0.12)58.34% (0.118 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (3.118 3.12)20.91% (-3.114 -3.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (4.659 4.66)53.63% (-4.655 -4.65)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 34.77%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.95%
    Draw 24.28%
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-1.06 -1.06)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.769 -0.77)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.371 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.279 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.729 -0.73)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.411 0.41)
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.303 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.602 0.6)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.421 0.42)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.429 0.43)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.374 0.37)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.264 0.26)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Plymouth

Burton Albion
20.7%
Draw
10.3%
Plymouth Argyle
69.0%
87
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Plymouth
Broom (90+3')
Clare (19')
Hardie (69')
Watts (28'), Mayor (56'), Opoku (74')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Burton Albion
Jephcott (25'), Moore (47')
Watts (63'), Canavan (72')

Hemmings (58'), Daniel (83')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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