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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Burton Albion
2 - 2
Plymouth

Kamwa (41'), Mariappa (90+7')
Oshilaja (17'), Onyango (62'), Hamer (63'), Winnall (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hardie (64' pen.), Mumba (73')
Lonwijk (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth Argyle will be desperate to return to winning ways on Saturday and ensure they maintain a lead at the top of the table, and they have shown far more quality than their hosts throughout the season thus far. Against a Burton Albion team lacking any confidence, we see Schumacher's men cruising to a victory in Staffordshire. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth Argyle
34.77% (-2.772 -2.77) 24.28% (-0.719 -0.72) 40.95% (3.495 3.5)
Both teams to score 60.06% (2.304 2.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (3.115 3.12)42.55% (-3.114 -3.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (3.034 3.03)64.96% (-3.031 -3.03)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.94% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)24.06% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.66% (-0.115 -0.12)58.34% (0.118 0.12)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (3.118 3.12)20.91% (-3.114 -3.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.37% (4.659 4.66)53.63% (-4.655 -4.65)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 34.77%
    Plymouth Argyle 40.95%
    Draw 24.28%
Burton AlbionDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.99% (-0.387 -0.39)
1-0 @ 7.17% (-1.06 -1.06)
2-0 @ 5.1% (-0.769 -0.77)
3-1 @ 3.79% (-0.194 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.126 0.13)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.371 -0.37)
4-1 @ 1.35% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.06% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 34.77%
1-1 @ 11.21% (-0.52 -0.52)
2-2 @ 6.25% (0.279 0.28)
0-0 @ 5.03% (-0.729 -0.73)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.197 0.2)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.78% (0.411 0.41)
0-1 @ 7.87% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-2 @ 6.16% (0.303 0.3)
1-3 @ 4.58% (0.602 0.6)
2-3 @ 3.26% (0.421 0.42)
0-3 @ 3.21% (0.429 0.43)
1-4 @ 1.79% (0.374 0.37)
2-4 @ 1.28% (0.264 0.26)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.265 0.27)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 40.95%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Plymouth

Burton Albion
Draw
Plymouth Argyle
Burton Albion
20.7%
Draw
10.3%
Plymouth Argyle
69.0%
87
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Apr 17, 2021 12.30pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Plymouth
Broom (90+3')
Clare (19')
Hardie (69')
Watts (28'), Mayor (56'), Opoku (74')
Oct 10, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
2-0
Burton Albion
Jephcott (25'), Moore (47')
Watts (63'), Canavan (72')

Hemmings (58'), Daniel (83')
Dec 29, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham36258359243583
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe372011664362871
3Wrexham37218851302171
4Charlton AthleticCharlton37199949321766
5Stockport CountyStockport371811853341965
6Huddersfield TownHuddersfield371871252341861
7Bolton WanderersBolton37186135955460
8Reading371611105246659
9Leyton Orient371751553381556
10Barnsley37157155153-252
11Blackpool371215105550551
12Lincoln CityLincoln371310145345849
13Stevenage371310143538-349
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham37129164245-345
15Mansfield TownMansfield37128174351-844
16Exeter CityExeter36128164051-1144
17Wigan AthleticWigan361110153336-343
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough36119165360-742
19Northampton TownNorthampton371012153754-1742
20Bristol Rovers37126193960-2142
21Burton Albion37812173853-1536
22Crawley TownCrawley3779213971-3230
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3778223561-2629
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3777233462-2828


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