FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Blundell Park

Grimsby Town
5 - 1
Plymouth

Smith (10'), Efete (33'), Kiernan (39', 58'), Glennon (45+7')
Khan (49'), Smith (87')

FT(HT: 4-1)

Randell (5')
Butcher (70')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Grimsby Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions

Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

Last Game: Plymouth 4-2 Exeter
Monday, October 31 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Grimsby Town 0-2 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth Argyle are in red-hot form, and they should be able to sail through to the second round. Grimsby Town have not won in three games, and we cannot see this run ending against the team that are top of the division above. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Grimsby Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
33.92% ( 0.04)	24.72% ( 0.01)	41.37% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 58.29% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.23% (

-0.05)

44.77% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.87% (

-0.05)

67.13% (

0.05)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.4% (

-0)

25.6% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.53% (

-0)

60.47% (

0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.34% (

-0.05)

21.66% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.2% (

-0.07)

54.8% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Grimsby Town 33.92%

Plymouth Argyle 41.37%

Draw 24.71%

Grimsby Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 7.88% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71%	1-2 @ 8.84% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.37%