League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Oct 31, 2022 at 8pm UK

Home Park

Plymouth
4 - 2
Exeter

Whittaker (27'), Mumba (58'), Hardie (70', 84')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Collins (25'), Nombe (52')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Plymouth Argyle and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Plymouth 2-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Plymouth Argyle 2-1 Exeter City

Having come through their last two matches unbeaten, Exeter will fancy their chances of causing a surprise against the form side in the entire EFL. However, we cannot back against Plymouth, even if they may have to work hard to eventually get over the line against their South West rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 54.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 21.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Exeter City
54.17% ( 0.2)	24.47% ( -0.04)	21.35% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 49.21% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.93% (

-0.02)

52.07% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.2% (

-0.02)

73.79% (

0.02)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.85% (

0.07)

19.15% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.2% (

0.12)

50.8% (

-0.12)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.86% (

-0.17)

39.13% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.15% (

-0.16)

75.85% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Plymouth Argyle 54.16%

Exeter City 21.35%

Draw 24.47%

Plymouth Argyle	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 12.38% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.99% Total : 54.16%	1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.49% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.47%	0-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.43% Total : 21.35%