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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 30.91% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
30.91% ( 0.92) | 27.45% ( 0.49) | 41.64% ( -1.42) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.02% ( -1.52) | 56.98% ( 1.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.12% ( -1.23) | 77.88% ( 1.23) |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.35% ( -0.12) | 33.65% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.7% ( -0.13) | 70.3% ( 0.13) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.03% ( -1.44) | 26.97% ( 1.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.69% ( -1.93) | 62.31% ( 1.93) |
Score Analysis |
Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.53) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 5.38% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.91% | 1-1 @ 12.95% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.26) 0-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.23) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.14) 0-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.12) Other @ 2% Total : 41.63% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 19 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
> League One Full Table |