Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 3-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
5 | Plymouth Argyle | 6 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Derby County | 6 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Cambridge United | 6 | -1 | 10 |
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Peterborough United | 6 | 7 | 12 |
5 | Plymouth Argyle | 6 | 3 | 12 |
6 | Derby County | 6 | 2 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
50.6% (![]() | 24.32% (![]() | 25.08% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.05% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.18% (![]() | 47.82% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30% (![]() | 70% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% (![]() | 18.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.59% (![]() | 50.41% (![]() |
Plymouth Argyle Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.66% (![]() | 33.34% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.04% (![]() | 69.96% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County 50.6%
Plymouth Argyle 25.08%
Draw 24.32%
Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
1-0 @ 10.5% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.6% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.85% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.93% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.22% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.02% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.6% | 1-1 @ 11.53% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.28% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.8% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.08% |
How you voted: Derby vs Plymouth
Derby County
57.1%Draw
14.3%Plymouth Argyle
28.6%7
Form Guide