Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Plymouth Argyle.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 3-1 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Derby County | 6 | 2 | 11 |
| 7 | Cambridge United | 6 | -1 | 10 |
Last Game: Plymouth 1-1 Bristol Rovers (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Peterborough United | 6 | 7 | 12 |
| 5 | Plymouth Argyle | 6 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Derby County | 6 | 2 | 11 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 50.6%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 25.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.74%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
50.6% ( -1.47) | 24.32% ( 0.24) | 25.08% ( 1.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( 0.13) | 47.82% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( 0.12) | 70% ( -0.12) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.09% ( -0.52) | 18.91% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 49.59% ( -0.88) | 50.41% ( 0.88) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( 1.14) | 33.34% ( -1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.04% ( 1.23) | 69.96% ( -1.23) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 50.6%
Plymouth Argyle 25.08%
Draw 24.32%
| Derby County | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.5% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.74% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.6% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.32% | 0-1 @ 6.93% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.25)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.37% Total : 25.08% |
How you voted: Derby vs Plymouth
Derby County
57.1%Draw
14.3%Plymouth Argyle
28.6%7
Form Guide
