EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK

Hillsborough Stadium

Sheff Weds
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Wilks (32'), Paterson (34')
Bakinson (24')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Winnall (8'), Smith (17'), Keillor-Dunn (51' pen.)
Hamer (30'), Butcher (64'), Adeboyejo (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Sheffield Wednesday and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sheffield Wednesday

Last Six:

Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-2 Ipswich
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Plymouth Argyle	9	5	19
4	Sheffield Wednesday	9	8	17
5	Bolton Wanderers	9	5	17

Burton Albion

Last Six:

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
22	Forest Green Rovers	9	-10	8
23	Morecambe	9	-10	7
24	Burton Albion	9	-12	4

We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-0 Burton Albion

Given Sheff Wed's superior form and resources, we can only envisage the hosts winning at Hillsborough on Tuesday. Moore has far more quality options to call upon in a competition which generally features significant rotation, while the visitors are likely to have the weekend in mind given that they are bottom of League One. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 11.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.81%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-2 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Burton Albion
71.96% ( -0.8)	16.69% ( 0.31)	11.35% ( 0.49)

Both teams to score 52.42% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.65% (

-0.06)

36.35% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.52% (

-0.07)

58.48% (

0.07)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.14% (

-0.2)

8.86% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.67% (

-0.48)

30.33% (

0.48)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.51% (

0.82)

42.48% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.15% (

0.7)

78.85% (

-0.7)

Score Analysis

Sheffield Wednesday 71.95%

Burton Albion 11.35%

Draw 16.69%

Sheffield Wednesday	Draw	Burton Albion
2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.12) 5-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.64% Total : 71.95%	1-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.69%	1-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.3% Total : 11.35%