Sheff Weds5 - 2Burton Albion
We said: Sheffield Wednesday 2-1 Burton Albion
Burton's inconsistency has cost them this season, but it also makes them a threat when playing a team coping with more pressure. Nevertheless, on this occasion, we feel that Wednesday will do enough to claim another important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 61.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.11%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 61.48% | 22.53% | 15.99% |
| Both teams to score 45.83% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.24% | 51.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% | 73.53% |
| Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.62% | 16.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.98% | 46.02% |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.81% | 45.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.91% | 81.09% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Burton Albion |
| 1-0 @ 13.39% 2-0 @ 12.11% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 7.31% 3-1 @ 5.8% 4-0 @ 3.3% 4-1 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 2.3% 5-0 @ 1.2% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.83% Total : 61.48% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 7.4% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.67% Total : 22.52% | 0-1 @ 5.88% 1-2 @ 4.22% 0-2 @ 2.34% 1-3 @ 1.12% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.42% Total : 15.99% |
