MX23RW : Friday, September 27 22:10:32| >> :600:853411:853411:
Burton Albion
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 30, 2022 at 7pm UK
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
4 - 2
Leicester U21s

Ahadme (4', 7'), Adeboyejo (9'), Powell (12')
de Castro (73')
de Castro (90+4')
FT(HT: 4-2)
Maswanhise (38'), Fitzhugh (39')
Hughes (69'), Wormleighton (90+1')
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Burton Albion and Leicester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

Last Six:
Last Game: Cambridge 4-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One

Leicester City Under-21s

Last Six:
Last Game: Blackburn U21s 0-4 Leicester U21s
Saturday, August 27 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 47.03%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 0-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City Under-21s
47.03% (-4.689 -4.69) 25.09% (0.622 0.62) 27.88% (4.066 4.07)
Both teams to score 54% (1.763 1.76)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.98% (0.541 0.54)49.02% (-0.541 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.9% (0.488 0.49)71.1% (-0.48999999999999 -0.49)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.13% (-1.726 -1.73)20.87% (1.725 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.42% (-2.776 -2.78)53.57% (2.775 2.78)
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (3.637 3.64)31.75% (-3.638 -3.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (3.972 3.97)68.17% (-3.974 -3.97)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 47.03%
    Leicester City Under-21s 27.88%
    Draw 25.09%
Burton AlbionDrawLeicester City Under-21s
1-0 @ 10.38% (-0.81 -0.81)
2-1 @ 9.33% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-1.124 -1.12)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.426 -0.43)
3-0 @ 4.25% (-0.853 -0.85)
3-2 @ 2.8% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.281 -0.28)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.444 -0.44)
4-2 @ 1.1% (-0.043 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 47.03%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.28 0.28)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.358 0.36)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.6% (0.565 0.57)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.789 0.79)
0-2 @ 4.36% (0.706 0.71)
1-3 @ 2.61% (0.52 0.52)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.317 0.32)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.402 0.4)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 27.88%

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5Chelsea5311115610
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10Tottenham HotspurSpurs52129547
11Manchester UnitedMan Utd52125507
12Brentford520379-26
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham511359-44
15Leicester CityLeicester503268-23
16Crystal Palace503247-33
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18Southampton501429-71
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves5014514-91
20Everton5014514-91
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