Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 45.54%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.71%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 1-0 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Pachuca in this match.