EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 20, 2022 at 7pm UK

The County Ground

Swindon
1 - 3
Plymouth

Hepburn-Murphy (90+1')
Iandolo (24'), Khan (41')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Jenkins-Davies (28'), Halls (30'), Hardie (88')
Cosgrove (45+2'), Whittaker (66'), Butcher (90')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Plymouth Argyle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

Last Six:

Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Swindon
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Sutton United	9	2	14
11	Swindon Town	9	2	14
12	Doncaster Rovers	9	-1	14

Plymouth Argyle

Last Six:

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Portsmouth	9	11	21
3	Plymouth Argyle	9	5	19
4	Sheffield Wednesday	9	8	17

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 47.42%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Swindon Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
47.42% ( 0.01)	24.04% ( 0)	28.53% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 57.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.95% (

-0.03)

44.04% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.57% (

-0.03)

66.43% (

0.03)

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.28% (

-0.01)

18.72% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.92% (

-0.01)

50.08% (

0.01)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.29% (

-0.03)

28.71% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.47% (

-0.03)

64.53% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Swindon Town 47.42%

Plymouth Argyle 28.53%

Draw 24.04%

Swindon Town	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0) Other @ 3.36% Total : 47.42%	1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.04%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.62% Total : 28.53%