We said: Exeter City 0-2 Fleetwood Town
Fleetwood have only scored 11 times this season, which is the second-fewest in the division.
However, they are coming up against an Exeter side that are shipping goals left and right at the moment, and this is the perfect opportunity for them to get back to winning ways in the league.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 22.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.