League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Nov 12, 2022 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 1
Plymouth

Sanders (45+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Randell (31')
Houghton (71'), Lonwijk (81'), Randell (90+2')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol City 1-3 Lincoln
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Grimsby Town 5-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 1-2 Plymouth Argyle

Lincoln have been very tricky to beat this season, and are on a high after the midweek result. Plymouth are on a roll in the league and, if the defeat at Grimsby does not play on their minds too much, they should have enough to get by the Imps. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 33.2% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
33.2% ( -0.26)	26.42% ( -0.1)	40.37% ( 0.36)

Both teams to score 52.34% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.63% (

0.35)

52.37% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.94% (

0.3)

74.05% (

-0.3)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.27% (

29.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.21% (

65.79% (

-0)

Plymouth Argyle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.48% (

0.35)

25.52% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.63% (

0.48)

60.37% (

-0.47)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 33.2%

Plymouth Argyle 40.36%

Draw 26.42%

Lincoln City	Draw	Plymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 33.2%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 10.35% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.36%