League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 0
Lincoln

Butterworth (68')
Garrity (11'), Robinson (45+7'), Jones (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

House (2'), Roughan (61')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Port Vale 2-3 Ipswich
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Port Vale 0-2 Lincoln City

Port Vale have been scoring a lot of goals recently, but on Saturday they come up against a strong defensive unit which will create a genuine test. Both teams have been in better form as of late, but it is Lincoln City who come into this one in the midst of an undefeated streak, which could continue here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 52.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 21.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.28%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Lincoln City
52.95% ( 0.11)	25.22% ( -0.02)	21.83% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 47.69% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.6% (

-0.01)

54.39% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.23% (

-0.01)

75.77% (

0.01)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.45% (

0.04)

20.54% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.94% (

0.06)

53.06% (

-0.06)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.02% (

-0.09)

39.97% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.37% (

-0.09)

76.62% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 52.94%

Lincoln City 21.83%

Draw 25.21%

Port Vale	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 12.99% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.28% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.54% Total : 52.94%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.21% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.21%	0-1 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.34% Total : 21.83%