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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Port Vale

Cambridge
0 - 1
Port Vale


Simper (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Digby (79' og.)
Worrall (27'), Massey (78'), Conlon (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Wolves U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Cambridge United 0-2 Port Vale

Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three, and although they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Cambridge side who have been generous in giving up goals. Cambridge are struggling for form in the league, and we think Port Vale will take advantage of that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawPort Vale
23.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 25.38% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 50.86% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.76% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.24% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.2% (0.033999999999999 0.03)74.79% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.53% (0.012999999999998 0.01)37.47% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)74.25% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (0.025999999999996 0.03)20.95% (-0.023999999999997 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.039999999999999 0.04)53.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 23.75%
    Port Vale 50.86%
    Draw 25.38%
Cambridge UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.91%
2-0 @ 3.78% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-1 @ 1.93%
3-2 @ 1.51% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 23.75%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.62% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 25.38%
0-1 @ 12.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.59%
1-2 @ 9.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 50.86%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Port Vale

Cambridge United
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Port Vale
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Cambridge
3-1
Port Vale
Mullin (3' pen., 51', 90+5')
May (84')
Robinson (18' pen.)
Aug 31, 2019 3pm
Port Vale
1-0
Cambridge
Davies (84' og.)
Gibbons (79')

Taft (32'), O'Neil (53'), Roles (78')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Cambridge
1-0
Port Vale
Amoo (19')
Brown (60'), Carroll (66')

Kay (32'), Smith (91')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe15112235181735
2Wrexham1694325111431
3Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
4Birmingham CityBirmingham1493226151130
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield158252315826
6Barnsley167542420426
7Lincoln CityLincoln167542320326
8Reading158252422226
9Bolton WanderersBolton158252425-126
10Mansfield TownMansfield147342016424
11Exeter CityExeter157261413123
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
13Bristol Rovers166371721-421
14Charlton AthleticCharlton155461617-119
15Stevenage165471116-519
16Northampton TownNorthampton164661821-318
17Wigan AthleticWigan154561312117
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
19Blackpool164572230-817
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient154381418-415
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge153391324-1112
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion151591528-138


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