We said: Cambridge United 0-2 Port Vale
Port Vale are unbeaten in their last three, and although they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Cambridge side who have been generous in giving up goals.
Cambridge are struggling for form in the league, and we think Port Vale will take advantage of that.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.59%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.