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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Forest Green Rovers

Port Vale
2 - 2
Forest Green

Odubeko (78'), Harrison (88' pen.)
Garrity (27'), Forrester (36'), Wilson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Peart-Harris (14'), Cargill (37')
Hendry (26'), Wickham (45'), O'Keeffe (74'), Moore-Taylor (76'), McGee (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Port Vale have won three of their last five games, including that impressive win at Pride Park last weekend, and while they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Forest Green side who have been very generous in giving up goals. Rovers have won just one of their last six in League One, conceding 14 in the process, and their only away league win of the season came back in July on the opening day so they may struggle again here on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
53.06% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 24.19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 22.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.108 0.11)49.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.097000000000001 0.1)71.49% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.076000000000008 0.08)18.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.128 0.13)49.85% (-0.129 -0.13)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.3% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.08% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 53.06%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.75%
    Draw 24.19%
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.75%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Forest Green

Port Vale
81.3%
Draw
0.0%
Forest Green Rovers
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Port Vale
1-1
Forest Green
Stokes (34' og.)
Smith (22')
Collins (41')
Adams (75'), Collins (90+3')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Forest Green
2-3
Port Vale
Winchester (78' pen., 90')
Kitching (45')
Brisley (14'), Pope (38', 70')
Montano (80'), Legge (83'), Brisley (84'), Pope (90')
Clark (87'), Pope (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham29216251193269
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe30179456312560
3Wrexham30177645252058
4Stockport CountyStockport32169749301957
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield30157843271652
6Leyton Orient301551046271950
7Charlton AthleticCharlton31148940301050
8Bolton WanderersBolton31155115048250
9Reading31147104643349
10Barnsley31127124343043
11Blackpool3191484544141
12Stevenage30118112931-241
13Lincoln CityLincoln311010113838040
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham31108133537-238
15Mansfield TownMansfield30115143841-338
16Exeter CityExeter30105153446-1235
17Bristol Rovers30105153246-1435
18Wigan AthleticWigan2997132730-334
19Northampton TownNorthampton3189142947-1833
20Peterborough UnitedPeterborough3187164758-1131
21Crawley TownCrawley3077163454-2028
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3176183353-2027
23Burton Albion31511153248-1626
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge3158183056-2623


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