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Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Forest Green Rovers

Port Vale
2 - 2
Forest Green

Odubeko (78'), Harrison (88' pen.)
Garrity (27'), Forrester (36'), Wilson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Peart-Harris (14'), Cargill (37')
Hendry (26'), Wickham (45'), O'Keeffe (74'), Moore-Taylor (76'), McGee (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Port Vale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Port Vale have won three of their last five games, including that impressive win at Pride Park last weekend, and while they may not have the most potent attack, they face a Forest Green side who have been very generous in giving up goals. Rovers have won just one of their last six in League One, conceding 14 in the process, and their only away league win of the season came back in July on the opening day so they may struggle again here on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Forest Green Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
53.06% (0.092999999999996 0.09) 24.19% (-0.040000000000003 -0.04) 22.75% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Both teams to score 51.86% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.54% (0.108 0.11)49.45% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.51% (0.097000000000001 0.1)71.49% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.41% (0.076000000000008 0.08)18.58% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.14% (0.128 0.13)49.85% (-0.129 -0.13)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.7% (0.011000000000003 0.01)36.3% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.91% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.08% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 53.06%
    Forest Green Rovers 22.75%
    Draw 24.19%
Port ValeDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.35% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.55% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 5.36% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 53.06%
1-1 @ 11.5% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.74% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.84% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.66% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.75%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Forest Green

Port Vale
81.3%
Draw
0.0%
Forest Green Rovers
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Jan 16, 2021 3pm
Dec 15, 2020 7pm
Port Vale
1-1
Forest Green
Stokes (34' og.)
Smith (22')
Collins (41')
Adams (75'), Collins (90+3')
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
Forest Green
2-3
Port Vale
Winchester (78' pen., 90')
Kitching (45')
Brisley (14'), Pope (38', 70')
Montano (80'), Legge (83'), Brisley (84'), Pope (90')
Clark (87'), Pope (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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