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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
46.08% | 26.63% | 27.3% |
Both teams to score 48.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.54% | 55.46% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.35% | 76.65% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% | 24.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% | 58.29% |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.37% | 35.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.61% | 72.39% |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Port Vale |
1-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 4.27% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.64% Other @ 0.83% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 6.5% 0-2 @ 4.56% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2% Total : 27.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |