Northampton

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Port Vale

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 49.39%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.