Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.