League One | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Derby1 - 2Port Vale
Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Port Vale.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Derby (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 0-1 Sheff Weds
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Port Vale |
47.46% ( -0) | 25.09% | 27.45% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 53.69% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.72% ( 0) | 49.28% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.66% ( 0) | 71.33% ( -0) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( 0) | 20.79% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.55% | 53.45% ( 0) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.78% ( 0) | 32.21% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.29% ( 0) | 68.7% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Derby County 47.45%
Port Vale 27.45%
Draw 25.08%
| Derby County | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 8.26% 3-1 @ 4.9% 3-0 @ 4.33% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.61% Total : 47.45% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.7% 2-2 @ 5.3% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.08% | 0-1 @ 7.59% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.3% 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.65% Total : 27.45% |
Form Guide
