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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Derby logo

Cambridge
0 - 2
Derby

FT(HT: 0-1)
Collins (45', 83')
Osula (90+5')
Coverage of the League One clash between Cambridge United and Derby County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Cambridge
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Wycombe
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.05%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawDerby County
23.4% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 24.54% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 52.05% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.54% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.74%50.26% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.21% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.07% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)72.93% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.71% (0.0049999999999955 0)19.28% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.97% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)51.02% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 23.4%
    Derby County 52.05%
    Draw 24.54%
Cambridge UnitedDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 7.09% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-1 @ 5.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-1 @ 2.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 23.4%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.54%
0-1 @ 11.47%
1-2 @ 9.61% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 5.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 5.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.68%
1-4 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 52.05%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wrexham7511146816
2Birmingham CityBirmingham6510136716
3Barnsley74121210213
4Charlton AthleticCharlton741275213
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield7403118312
6Lincoln CityLincoln6321106411
7Stockport CountyStockport6321106411
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough73221211111
9Blackpool73221313011
10Mansfield TownMansfield63211111011
11Wycombe WanderersWycombe63121210210
12Exeter CityExeter63038629
13Northampton TownNorthampton62228718
14Wigan AthleticWigan72236518
15Stevenage72235508
16Leyton Orient7214911-27
17Reading6213710-37
18Crawley TownCrawley621358-37
19Bolton WanderersBolton6213711-47
20Bristol Rovers7214611-57
21Rotherham UnitedRotherham713359-46
22Burton Albion6042810-24
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury7106512-73
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge6015613-71


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