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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Fleetwood Town | 8 | 1 | 11 |
13 | Derby County | 8 | -1 | 11 |
14 | Charlton Athletic | 8 | 2 | 10 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
9 | Exeter City | 8 | 4 | 11 |
10 | Wycombe Wanderers | 8 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Barnsley | 8 | 1 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.28%. A win for Wycombe Wanderers had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Wycombe Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
42.28% ( 1.91) | 25.73% ( 0.36) | 31.99% ( -2.26) |
Both teams to score 54.21% ( -1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.21% ( -2.13) | 49.79% ( 2.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.21% ( -1.93) | 71.79% ( 1.94) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.61% ( 0.02) | 23.39% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.63% ( 0.02) | 57.37% ( -0.01) |
Wycombe Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.76% ( -2.46) | 29.24% ( 2.47) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.81% ( -3.14) | 65.19% ( 3.14) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Wycombe Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.84) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.61) 3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.57) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.51% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.27) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.2) Other @ 2.52% Total : 31.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 32 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 13 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
3 | Wrexham | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 11 | 11 | 28 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 27 |
5 | Barnsley | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 26 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 23 |
9 | Exeter CityExeter | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Reading | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 23 |
11 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 21 |
13 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 19 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Stevenage | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 18 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 17 |
18 | Blackpool | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 17 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 14 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 11 |
23 | Burton Albion | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 8 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |