EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 20, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 2Forest Green
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 0-2 Barrow
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Harrogate Town | 9 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 | Newport County | 9 | -4 | 7 |
| 20 | Crawley Town | 9 | -5 | 6 |
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Morecambe
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League One
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | -6 | 8 |
| 22 | Forest Green Rovers | 9 | -10 | 8 |
| 23 | Morecambe | 9 | -10 | 7 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
36.56% ( 0.08) | 25.32% ( -0.01) | 38.12% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 56.59% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
