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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 55.37%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
55.37% | 24.25% | 20.37% |
Both teams to score 48.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.69% | 52.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26% | 74% |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.22% | 18.78% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.82% | 50.18% |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.71% | 40.29% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.09% | 76.91% |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Newport County |
1-0 @ 12.65% 2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.62% 3-0 @ 5.9% 3-1 @ 5.36% 4-0 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.44% 4-1 @ 2.24% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.09% Total : 55.37% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 7.57% 2-2 @ 4.37% Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% 1-2 @ 5.23% 0-2 @ 3.13% 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.33% 0-3 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.28% Total : 20.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
> League Two Full Table |