League Two

League Two | Gameweek 23

Mar 1, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
1 - 1
Forest Green

Azaz (3')
Lewis (32'), Bennett (38'), Cooper (46'), Clarke (69'), Street (84')
Clarke (84')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aitchison (55')
Matt (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Forest Green Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newport County 1-1 Forest Green Rovers

Both of these teams are pushing for promotion this season, and that places a lot of importance on each fixture, especially against other teams around themselves in the league. While Forest Green Rovers have been dominant throughout the campaign, they are struggling for form as of late, and that could lead to the two teams battling it out to a draw this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 39.74%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 36% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (5.92%). The likeliest Newport County win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
36%	24.27%	39.74%

Both teams to score 60.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.72%

42.28%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.32%

64.68%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.74%

23.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.81%

57.19%

Forest Green Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63%

21.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.66%

54.34%

Score Analysis

Newport County 36%

Forest Green Rovers 39.74%

Draw 24.26%

Newport County	Draw	Forest Green Rovers
2-1 @ 8.16% 1-0 @ 7.25% 2-0 @ 5.29% 3-1 @ 3.97% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 2.57% 4-1 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.12% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.21% Total : 36%	1-1 @ 11.18% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.97% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.26%	1-2 @ 8.63% 0-1 @ 7.67% 0-2 @ 5.92% 1-3 @ 4.44% 2-3 @ 3.24% 0-3 @ 3.05% 1-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.65% Total : 39.74%