Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
