League Two

League Two | Gameweek 33

Aug 14, 2021 at 3pm UK

Mansfield
2 - 1
Newport

Maris (7'), Clarke (43')
Perch (30'), Gordon (68'), Hawkins (74')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Willmott (9')
Abraham (21'), Missilou (33'), Haynes (72')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Newport County.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 37.19%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield Town	Draw	Newport County
37.19%	28.9%	33.9%

Both teams to score 45.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.44%

61.56%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.59%

81.41%

Mansfield Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.21%

31.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.78%

68.22%

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05%

33.95%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37%

70.62%

Score Analysis

Mansfield Town 37.19%

Newport County 33.89%

Draw 28.9%

Mansfield Town	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 7.09% 3-1 @ 2.93% 3-0 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.19%	1-1 @ 13.36% 0-0 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.9%	0-1 @ 11.65% 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.6% 0-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.37% Total : 33.89%