Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.