Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 31.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.14%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.