League Two | Gameweek 40
Apr 5, 2021 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 0Bolton
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Bolton Wanderers.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 32.48% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 38.86% | 28.65% | 32.48% |
| Both teams to score 45.52% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
