Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.