EFL Cup | First Round
Sep 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport2 - 0Swansea
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Swansea City |
| 37.05% | 26.15% | 36.8% |
| Both teams to score 53.72% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.17% | 50.82% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.29% | 72.71% |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.37% | 26.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.13% | 61.87% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.22% | 26.77% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.94% | 62.05% |
| Score Analysis |
Newport County 37.05%
Swansea City 36.8%
Draw 26.15%
| Newport County | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.43% 2-1 @ 8.22% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 3.63% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.39% 4-1 @ 1.2% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.27% Total : 37.05% | 1-1 @ 12.43% 0-0 @ 7.13% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 9.4% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-2 @ 6.19% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.14% Total : 36.8% |
Form Guide
