EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 22, 2020 at 7pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport3 - 1Watford
The Match
Match Report
Watford arrived at Rodney Parade unbeaten in their three outings this season but lost to League Two Newport.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup third-round clash between Newport County and Watford, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.18%. A win for Watford had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Watford |
| 41.18% | 27.29% | 31.53% |
| Both teams to score 49.17% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
